Due to the coronavirus (Covid-19), it has been estimated that global emissions will fall by 0.5 to 2.2 percent from 2019 levels, based on the economy recovering in Q3 and Q4 2020. This projection is based on a range of scenarios that look into the economic impact of the pandemic.
For further information about the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, please visit our dedicated Fact and Figures page.
Projected percentage change in carbon dioxide emissions due to coronavirus (Covid-19) worldwide in 2020*
Characteristic
Percentage change
Min
-0.5%
Max
-2.2%
-2.5%-2%-1.5%-1%-0.5%0%
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* Compared to 2019 levels. Assuming global economy recovers in Q3 and Q4 2020. Calculated by scaling 2019 regional CO2 emissions data with 2020 regional GDP projections.
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Breakthrough Institute. (March 26, 2020). Projected percentage change in carbon dioxide emissions due to coronavirus (Covid-19) worldwide in 2020* [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved May 12, 2025, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1108120/covid-19-co2-emissions-impact-global/
Breakthrough Institute. "Projected percentage change in carbon dioxide emissions due to coronavirus (Covid-19) worldwide in 2020*." Chart. March 26, 2020. Statista. Accessed May 12, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1108120/covid-19-co2-emissions-impact-global/
Breakthrough Institute. (2020). Projected percentage change in carbon dioxide emissions due to coronavirus (Covid-19) worldwide in 2020*. Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: May 12, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1108120/covid-19-co2-emissions-impact-global/
Breakthrough Institute. "Projected Percentage Change in Carbon Dioxide Emissions Due to Coronavirus (Covid-19) Worldwide in 2020*." Statista, Statista Inc., 26 Mar 2020, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1108120/covid-19-co2-emissions-impact-global/
Breakthrough Institute, Projected percentage change in carbon dioxide emissions due to coronavirus (Covid-19) worldwide in 2020* Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1108120/covid-19-co2-emissions-impact-global/ (last visited May 12, 2025)
Projected percentage change in carbon dioxide emissions due to coronavirus (Covid-19) worldwide in 2020* [Graph], Breakthrough Institute, March 26, 2020. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1108120/covid-19-co2-emissions-impact-global/
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