A study conducted in December 2020 considered that poverty in Tunisia would increase after the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. Within a pessimistic scenario, where Tunisia's gross domestic product (GDP) contracted by **** percent, the share of the population living below the national poverty line would reach **** percent, compared to around ** percent before the pandemic. Moreover, the extreme poverty rate would also increase significantly from some ***** percent to nearly ** percent.
The source adds the following information:
- The first post-COVID-19 scenario (optimistic) "uses World Bank recent estimates with -8.8% real GDP growth, at constant factor prices."
- The second post-COVID-19 scenario (pessimistic) "simulates a
growth of -11.9%, i.e. the economy achieves the same growth as that achieved during the first half of the year."
Data are calculations based on the National Survey on Household Budget, Consumption and Standard of Living (EBCNV 2015).
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World Bank. (December 30, 2020). Impact of coronavirus (COVID-19) on poverty rate in Tunisia as of 2020, by scenario [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved July 14, 2025, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1219248/impact-of-covid-19-on-poverty-rate-in-tunisia/
World Bank. "Impact of coronavirus (COVID-19) on poverty rate in Tunisia as of 2020, by scenario." Chart. December 30, 2020. Statista. Accessed July 14, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1219248/impact-of-covid-19-on-poverty-rate-in-tunisia/
World Bank. (2020). Impact of coronavirus (COVID-19) on poverty rate in Tunisia as of 2020, by scenario. Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: July 14, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1219248/impact-of-covid-19-on-poverty-rate-in-tunisia/
World Bank. "Impact of Coronavirus (Covid-19) on Poverty Rate in Tunisia as of 2020, by Scenario." Statista, Statista Inc., 30 Dec 2020, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1219248/impact-of-covid-19-on-poverty-rate-in-tunisia/
World Bank, Impact of coronavirus (COVID-19) on poverty rate in Tunisia as of 2020, by scenario Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1219248/impact-of-covid-19-on-poverty-rate-in-tunisia/ (last visited July 14, 2025)
Impact of coronavirus (COVID-19) on poverty rate in Tunisia as of 2020, by scenario [Graph], World Bank, December 30, 2020. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1219248/impact-of-covid-19-on-poverty-rate-in-tunisia/