Voluntary carbon offset prices could reach as high as 238 U.S. dollars per ton of carbon dioxide (USD/tCO₂) by 2050 if integrity issues within the market are resolved. However, if the market continues to operate without rigorous standards, and integrity issues remain a concern for companies, then carbon offset credits would trade at just 14 USD/tCO₂ in 2050. Meanwhile, prices would soar to 146 USD/tCO₂ by 2030 if the market is restricted to only carbon removals.
Forecast voluntary carbon offset (VCO) prices worldwide in 2030 and 2050, by scenario
(in U.S. dollars per ton of carbon dioxide)
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Forecast voluntary carbon offset (VCO) prices worldwide in 2030 and 2050, by scenario
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Voluntary market scenario: integrity issues are not resolved, and company demand is elastic.
High-quality scenario: integrity issues in the offset market are resolved, and offset demand is inelastic.
Removal scenario: companies can only buy carbon removals and credits are interchangeable with other forms of abatement, meaning companies take a least-cost decarbonization approach.
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BloombergNEF. (February 2, 2024). Forecast voluntary carbon offset (VCO) prices worldwide in 2030 and 2050, by scenario (in U.S. dollars per ton of carbon dioxide) [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved May 04, 2025, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1284060/forecast-carbon-offset-prices-by-scenario/
BloombergNEF. "Forecast voluntary carbon offset (VCO) prices worldwide in 2030 and 2050, by scenario (in U.S. dollars per ton of carbon dioxide)." Chart. February 2, 2024. Statista. Accessed May 04, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1284060/forecast-carbon-offset-prices-by-scenario/
BloombergNEF. (2024). Forecast voluntary carbon offset (VCO) prices worldwide in 2030 and 2050, by scenario (in U.S. dollars per ton of carbon dioxide). Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: May 04, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1284060/forecast-carbon-offset-prices-by-scenario/
BloombergNEF. "Forecast Voluntary Carbon Offset (Vco) Prices Worldwide in 2030 and 2050, by Scenario (in U.S. Dollars per Ton of Carbon Dioxide)." Statista, Statista Inc., 2 Feb 2024, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1284060/forecast-carbon-offset-prices-by-scenario/
BloombergNEF, Forecast voluntary carbon offset (VCO) prices worldwide in 2030 and 2050, by scenario (in U.S. dollars per ton of carbon dioxide) Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1284060/forecast-carbon-offset-prices-by-scenario/ (last visited May 04, 2025)
Forecast voluntary carbon offset (VCO) prices worldwide in 2030 and 2050, by scenario (in U.S. dollars per ton of carbon dioxide) [Graph], BloombergNEF, February 2, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1284060/forecast-carbon-offset-prices-by-scenario/
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