As of April 16, 2025, the Canadian bond market displayed a positive spread of 57.8 basis points between 10-year and 2-year yields, indicating long-term rates above short-term ones. The 2-year versus 1-year sprea also showed a positive spread of 19.1 basis points.
Negative spreads indicate a (partially) inverted yield curve. This often signals investor pessimism about short-term economic prospects, as investors seek the relative safety of long-term bonds, pushing those yields down relative to shorter-term bonds. An inverted yield curve is typically interpreted as a potential indicator of economic slowdown or recession, as it reflects expectations of lower interest rates in the future to stimulate the economy.
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Government bonds' spread between long, medium, and short maturity in Canada as of April 16, 2025
(in basis points)
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Website (worldgovernmentbonds.com). (April 15, 2025). Government bonds' spread between long, medium, and short maturity in Canada as of April 16, 2025 (in basis points) [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved June 26, 2025, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1534864/gov-bonds-spread-between-long-medium-and-short-maturity-canada/
Website (worldgovernmentbonds.com). "Government bonds' spread between long, medium, and short maturity in Canada as of April 16, 2025 (in basis points)." Chart. April 15, 2025. Statista. Accessed June 26, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1534864/gov-bonds-spread-between-long-medium-and-short-maturity-canada/
Website (worldgovernmentbonds.com). (2025). Government bonds' spread between long, medium, and short maturity in Canada as of April 16, 2025 (in basis points). Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: June 26, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1534864/gov-bonds-spread-between-long-medium-and-short-maturity-canada/
Website (worldgovernmentbonds.com). "Government Bonds' Spread between Long, Medium, and Short Maturity in Canada as of April 16, 2025 (in Basis Points)." Statista, Statista Inc., 15 Apr 2025, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1534864/gov-bonds-spread-between-long-medium-and-short-maturity-canada/
Website (worldgovernmentbonds.com), Government bonds' spread between long, medium, and short maturity in Canada as of April 16, 2025 (in basis points) Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1534864/gov-bonds-spread-between-long-medium-and-short-maturity-canada/ (last visited June 26, 2025)
Government bonds' spread between long, medium, and short maturity in Canada as of April 16, 2025 (in basis points) [Graph], Website (worldgovernmentbonds.com), April 15, 2025. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1534864/gov-bonds-spread-between-long-medium-and-short-maturity-canada/