Out of all the major movie awards leading to the Academy Awards, the Producers Guild of America (PGA) held the highest success rate at predicting the Best Picture winner over the past 20 years, with a total of 70 percent. As of 2025, Oscar Best Picture frontrunner "Anora" was crowned Best Picture award at the PGAs.
Success rate of major movie awards to predict the Academy Award winner for Best Picture between 2005 and 2025
Based on data from: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, Hollywood Foreign Press Association, Critics' Choice Association, Directors Guild of America, Producers Guild of America, British Film Academy, Screen Actors Guild
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ABC. (February 27, 2025). Success rate of major movie awards to predict the Academy Award winner for Best Picture between 2005 and 2025 [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved June 09, 2025, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1560130/movie-awards-predicting-oscar-best-picture-winner/
ABC. "Success rate of major movie awards to predict the Academy Award winner for Best Picture between 2005 and 2025." Chart. February 27, 2025. Statista. Accessed June 09, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1560130/movie-awards-predicting-oscar-best-picture-winner/
ABC. (2025). Success rate of major movie awards to predict the Academy Award winner for Best Picture between 2005 and 2025. Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: June 09, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1560130/movie-awards-predicting-oscar-best-picture-winner/
ABC. "Success Rate of Major Movie Awards to Predict The Academy Award Winner for Best Picture between 2005 and 2025." Statista, Statista Inc., 27 Feb 2025, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1560130/movie-awards-predicting-oscar-best-picture-winner/
ABC, Success rate of major movie awards to predict the Academy Award winner for Best Picture between 2005 and 2025 Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1560130/movie-awards-predicting-oscar-best-picture-winner/ (last visited June 09, 2025)
Success rate of major movie awards to predict the Academy Award winner for Best Picture between 2005 and 2025 [Graph], ABC, February 27, 2025. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1560130/movie-awards-predicting-oscar-best-picture-winner/
