Ahead of the tournament, Spain was deemed most likely to win the UEFA Women's EURO in 2025, with a computer model giving the team a 22 percent chance of success. Meanwhile, England's probability of winning stood at 14 percent.
Teams with the highest chance of winning the UEFA European Women's Championship in 2025
Figures were calculated by simulating the tournament one million times on a computer. Source mentions that its program was based on code created by Laurie Shaw of City Football Group.
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University of Portsmouth. (May 2, 2025). Teams with the highest chance of winning the UEFA European Women's Championship in 2025 [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved June 09, 2025, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1598849/uefa-womens-euro-likely-winners/
University of Portsmouth. "Teams with the highest chance of winning the UEFA European Women's Championship in 2025." Chart. May 2, 2025. Statista. Accessed June 09, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1598849/uefa-womens-euro-likely-winners/
University of Portsmouth. (2025). Teams with the highest chance of winning the UEFA European Women's Championship in 2025. Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: June 09, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1598849/uefa-womens-euro-likely-winners/
University of Portsmouth. "Teams with The Highest Chance of Winning The Uefa European Women's Championship in 2025." Statista, Statista Inc., 2 May 2025, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1598849/uefa-womens-euro-likely-winners/
University of Portsmouth, Teams with the highest chance of winning the UEFA European Women's Championship in 2025 Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1598849/uefa-womens-euro-likely-winners/ (last visited June 09, 2025)
Teams with the highest chance of winning the UEFA European Women's Championship in 2025 [Graph], University of Portsmouth, May 2, 2025. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1598849/uefa-womens-euro-likely-winners/