In the next two decades, natural gas and petroleum products are expected to be the main sources of final energy consumption in the United Kingdom. By 2040, natural gas demand is forecast to reach 43 million metric tons of oil equivalent, up from 36.3 in 2023. The final consumption of electricity in the UK is expected to grow by 50 percent between 2023 and 2040, whereas the final consumption of energy from renewable sources is forecast to grow until 2030 but then decrease.
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Final energy consumption in the United Kingdom in 2023 with a forecast for 2040, by energy type
(in 1,000 metric tons of oil equivalent)
Reference scenario; excluding international aviation
Supplementary notes
*Solid/Manufactured Fuels includes steam coal, anthracite, manufactured sold fuels, benzole, tars, blast furnace gas, and coke oven gas.
Projected data is taken from the reference scenario, which is based on central estimates of economic growth and fossil fuel prices and contains all agreed policies where decisions on policy design are sufficiently advanced to allow robust estimates of impact (i.e. including 'planned' policies).
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GOV.UK. (December 17, 2024). Final energy consumption in the United Kingdom in 2023 with a forecast for 2040, by energy type (in 1,000 metric tons of oil equivalent) [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved June 29, 2025, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/495010/final-energy-consumption-uk/
GOV.UK. "Final energy consumption in the United Kingdom in 2023 with a forecast for 2040, by energy type (in 1,000 metric tons of oil equivalent)." Chart. December 17, 2024. Statista. Accessed June 29, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/495010/final-energy-consumption-uk/
GOV.UK. (2024). Final energy consumption in the United Kingdom in 2023 with a forecast for 2040, by energy type (in 1,000 metric tons of oil equivalent). Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: June 29, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/495010/final-energy-consumption-uk/
GOV.UK. "Final Energy Consumption in The United Kingdom in 2023 with a Forecast for 2040, by Energy Type (in 1,000 Metric Tons of Oil Equivalent)." Statista, Statista Inc., 17 Dec 2024, https://www.statista.com/statistics/495010/final-energy-consumption-uk/
GOV.UK, Final energy consumption in the United Kingdom in 2023 with a forecast for 2040, by energy type (in 1,000 metric tons of oil equivalent) Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/495010/final-energy-consumption-uk/ (last visited June 29, 2025)
Final energy consumption in the United Kingdom in 2023 with a forecast for 2040, by energy type (in 1,000 metric tons of oil equivalent) [Graph], GOV.UK, December 17, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/495010/final-energy-consumption-uk/